Every figure on this site can be recomputed from published data — including the ones that argue against us. This page is the index of the receipts.
We publish our own model losing. Across 2,671 graded walk-forward NFL games (2,608 decided, 63 pushes) our prediction model hit 49.5% of decided games against the spread; the market hit 50.9%; breakeven is 52.4%. Nobody clears it. That measurement is why Sooth sells price transparency instead of picks — and why you can trust the rest of this site: numbers that flatter us and numbers that don't get published the same way.
The full model spec, the walk-forward backtest, the calibration table, the leakage controls — the file we'd hand a regulator or a journalist.
Read it → The receiptsPublic ledgerBoard snapshots hash-committed before kickoff, revealed and graded after. Nothing can be quietly edited later.
See the ledger → Check usVerify independentlyRecompute our Merkle root yourself with a standard-library script. If a number can't be regenerated from published data, treat it as an error and tell us.
Run the check → The machineEngine room27 seasons of data, the honest backtest curve, and the measured +2.71% price edge — what the archive actually buys us.
Open the engine → The archiveGame logEvery NFL game since 1999 with its closing spread, total, and moneylines — the raw history behind every claim.
Browse 7,548 games → The fine printDisclaimersNo wagers, no funds held, no performance claims, no affiliation with any league or book. Written plainly.
Read them →Analysis only — no wagers taken, no picks sold. 21+, where lawful. If gambling is causing harm, call 1-800-522-4700, 24/7.